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A Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI) poll released on February 3 ahead of the White House press conference showed that a majority of Israeli Jews consider the proposal “Arabs from Gaza should relocate to another country” to be a “practical plan that should be pursued”.
According to the study, 52% of Israeli Jews considered the plan realistic and positive, while 30% of Israeli Jews considered the plan “not practical but desirable”. 13% of Israeli Jews described the plan as a “distraction”, and only 3% of Israeli Jews considered it “immoral”.
When broken down by political affiliation, there is a clear increase in support the further to the right you move on the spectrum. JPPI found that 81% of right-leaning Israelis and 57% of center-right respondents thought that a transfer was a viable solution to the Gaza crisis. Even among left-wing respondents, only 27% considered the idea immoral.
A poll by Israeli broadcaster Channel 13 shows that support may have increased since Monday's press conference. According to the study, 93% of Likud voters, 98% of Religious Zionism Party voters, 88% of Haredi voters and 100% of Yisrael Beiteinu voters support Trump's plan. Even center-left Yesh Atid and National Unity Party voters support the plan with 74% and 80% respectively. Comparing this to polling data from the mid-2000s shows an increase in support for the “transfer” of almost 30 percentage points.
To summarize, the idea of “transfer” in general, and Trump's proposal in particular, has one of the highest approval ratings of any issue in Israeli politics.
Aside from being popular, many commentators believe that a “transfer” is the only practical solution to the Gaza crisis.
explained Martin Sherman.
he said.
Sherman further pointed out that the exodus of civilians is completely normal in times of military conflict and that the forcible confinement of Gaza's civilian population is an unprecedented decision.
Sherman said.
Retired Lt. Col. Maurice Hirsch, director of the Palestinian Authority Accountability Initiative at the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs (JCFA), expanded on this point, calling the refusal to let people leave Gaza “shameful.”
Hirsch explained that the current policy of refusing to allow people to leave Gaza on purely humanitarian grounds is problematic.
Hirsch told JNS.
he added.
Both Sherman and Hirsch agreed that it was probably possible to get a sizable portion of the population out while Hamas was still operating in Gaza. (Hamas has in the past killed and tortured Gaza residents who behaved in ways the group felt were contrary to its interests).
Hirsch said:
Sherman added that in his view,
With increasing calls for a “transfer” from Gaza, a similar shift in approach to the terrorist threat in Judea and Samaria seems imminent.
Sherman said that the current situation in Judea and Samaria is very volatile and will likely explode in violence similar to what was seen from Gaza on Oct. 7.
he said.
According to the study, 52% of Israeli Jews considered the plan realistic and positive, while 30% of Israeli Jews considered the plan “not practical but desirable”. 13% of Israeli Jews described the plan as a “distraction”, and only 3% of Israeli Jews considered it “immoral”.
When broken down by political affiliation, there is a clear increase in support the further to the right you move on the spectrum. JPPI found that 81% of right-leaning Israelis and 57% of center-right respondents thought that a transfer was a viable solution to the Gaza crisis. Even among left-wing respondents, only 27% considered the idea immoral.
A poll by Israeli broadcaster Channel 13 shows that support may have increased since Monday's press conference. According to the study, 93% of Likud voters, 98% of Religious Zionism Party voters, 88% of Haredi voters and 100% of Yisrael Beiteinu voters support Trump's plan. Even center-left Yesh Atid and National Unity Party voters support the plan with 74% and 80% respectively. Comparing this to polling data from the mid-2000s shows an increase in support for the “transfer” of almost 30 percentage points.
To summarize, the idea of “transfer” in general, and Trump's proposal in particular, has one of the highest approval ratings of any issue in Israeli politics.
Aside from being popular, many commentators believe that a “transfer” is the only practical solution to the Gaza crisis.
“Israel has long faced a difficult dilemma: either there are Jews in the Negev or Arabs in Gaza, but there can't be both,”
explained Martin Sherman.
“If the Jewish state is to continue to exist, Gaza must be cleared of its population.”
“All the alternative proposals on the table so far are just repeats of the old, failed ideas that led us to October 7. They are all based on the as yet unproven notion that there is a Palestinian leader out there somewhere who has both the will and the authority to impose some kind of peace agreement on the population at large. There has never been any proof of the existence of such an option. We have been operating under this false assumption for the last 40 years,”
he said.
Sherman further pointed out that the exodus of civilians is completely normal in times of military conflict and that the forcible confinement of Gaza's civilian population is an unprecedented decision.
“Everywhere where war is waged, be it in Syria or Ukraine, the civilian population flees the fighting. Just in this one case in the world, the population is trapped where the fighting is, and the whole world has simply refused to let them go,”
Sherman said.
Retired Lt. Col. Maurice Hirsch, director of the Palestinian Authority Accountability Initiative at the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs (JCFA), expanded on this point, calling the refusal to let people leave Gaza “shameful.”
Hirsch explained that the current policy of refusing to allow people to leave Gaza on purely humanitarian grounds is problematic.
“The first question you have to ask yourself when thinking about a “transfer” is whether you actually care about the people in Gaza. According to possibly embellished UN reports, between 75% and 80% of homes in Gaza have been damaged or destroyed. There are thousands of unexploded ordnance lying around the whole area. There is no water, no electricity, no utilities, no stores. Simply put, Gaza is uninhabitable.
“Throughout the war, the residents of Gaza have not been granted refuge in any other country. The whole world has been talking about helping Gaza, but no one has taken them in and no one has forced Egypt to open its border. The Turks and the Jordanians opened their borders to Syrian refugees, but the doors were closed to the Palestinians,”
Hirsch told JNS.
“If you care about the welfare of the people of Gaza, you have to give them an alternative for a better life,”
he added.
Both Sherman and Hirsch agreed that it was probably possible to get a sizable portion of the population out while Hamas was still operating in Gaza. (Hamas has in the past killed and tortured Gaza residents who behaved in ways the group felt were contrary to its interests).
Hirsch said:
“I think it is probably possible to get people out of Gaza without destroying Hamas first. There is a huge difference between Gazans supporting Hamas when they have no alternative and being held captive by Hamas and the international community. If they had another choice, the calculus would change. Hamas would have considerable difficulty in preventing the movement of the population.”
Sherman added that in his view,
“Hamas is too weak militarily to prevent such a movement.”
With increasing calls for a “transfer” from Gaza, a similar shift in approach to the terrorist threat in Judea and Samaria seems imminent.
Sherman said that the current situation in Judea and Samaria is very volatile and will likely explode in violence similar to what was seen from Gaza on Oct. 7.
“It's only a matter of time,”
he said.
“It is clear that we are facing similar threats in Judea and Samaria as in Gaza, and it is likely that similar solutions will be applicable there.”
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