Fertility decline a complex trend beyond any one policy solution

Michie

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WASHINGTON (OSV News) — The U.S. fertility ratehas slowed to a new record low, according to an analysis recently published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. But experts said there does not appear to be any one policy that could reverse a complex trend.

Experts who spoke with OSV News suggested that some policies growing in popularity — like paid parental leave and increasing child care options — might have other merits but aren’t necessarily going to increase fertility rates if implemented.

U.S. fertility rate hits record low​

The report, which examined 2023 birth certificate data, found a 2% decline from 2022, with 3,591,328 births recorded in 2023. It coincides with broader declining fertility rates globally.

The U.S. fertility rate has generally fallen below what experts call replacement level, or the amount of live births necessary for a generation to reproduce itself, since 1971. A society that can’t meet its replacement rate might see adverse economic outcomes, as well as a reduced tax base, economists said.

“The trend line is pointing pretty much one direction and that’s down,” Patrick Brown, a fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center’s Life and Family Initiative, told OSV News.

Brown said other countries with a similar trend that have implemented policies aimed at reversing the trend — such as Singapore or Sweden — have not had much impact on fertility rates.

Complex factors at play​


Continued below.
 

Cosmic Charlie

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A few quotes from the article:

“I’m dubious that there’s a lot the policy can do, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing we can do,” Brown said, pointing to a slight uptick in fertility around the COVID-19 pandemic when more companies adopted policies such as flexible hours or work-from-home capabilities.


“So fewer babies being born outside of the context of marriage is, you know, in some respects, a good news story,” he said. “But on the other hand, we’re obviously seeing the downstream consequences of lower birth rates across the board but … all that is to say it is complex.”


Churchgoers, Pakaluk argued, “are receiving both a set of convictions about the value of children and the support needed on the community level … just the nitty-gritty support of everyday life meals after a baby is born and all of those things. They’re receiving all the things you need to form families and have children.”

The data, Pakaluk argued, is a reflection of several decades of women and families balancing “two good things,” children and careers, and often choosing “a mixture of both.”

“We are going to have a hard time confronting this trend without, at some point, addressing the elephant in the room, which is that women are doing both things and it’s pretty hard to do both of those things,” she said.

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If I may ruminate:

There is something environmentally going on with sperm count globally, they don't know what but it a real thing.


That aside:
Kids are expensive, they don't have anywhere to go that isn't monetized, no one seems to think that they should ever be left alone, every institution from the Church to the Boy Scouts has been tarred with sexual abuse.


The Churches aren't welcoming (they just aren't let look at the situation objectively), the climate is obviously in trouble and no one what's to give parents a break, anywhere. Corporations are buying up houses at high prices and then renting them out to young families.

Congratulations, we manage to create a prefect capitalist, Christian society where no one can actually raise children.

Also, COVID didn't help. The social groups that support our society have all broken down. It does take a village to raise a kid, and the villages aren't there anymore.

I don't know how to fix this but it could start with parishes becoming places where kids can hang out, where parent trust their children to go and play and be kids. How do we rebuild the social networks that have failed and broken down. And also be have to do something about the sperm count too.


 
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