Only if:
a) they offer the kind of service where discrimination law applies
b) they actually are discriminatory in the way they offer their services
c) someone challenges them on that
d) when challenged, that's taken to the point of a legal case
e) the legal case is won.
Each of those things has a small probability. Multiplied together, the probability is vanishingly small. Posting this as if half the country is going to be in and out of court is just misleading.
Honestly, if you're a photographer or florist or whatever and you don't want to do same-sex marriages, it's not that hard to specialise in baby photos or funeral flowers rather than weddings (for example). The only reason people are going to be prosecuted and fined is if they insist on putting themselves in that situation to make a point.
But what are charities and schools even going to be doing that is going to attract this kind of action? Schools aren't marrying people. Charities aren't marrying people. Of course we'll have the right to say ssm is wrong; what we don't have the right to do is indulge in hate speech. But as I've said before... we shouldn't be indulging in hate speech anyway.
The bottom line is that you support the legal punishment of people in business with a religious objection to ssm who are unwilling to violate their faith by involvement in a ss wedding.. You also support this threat hanging over the head of all people in business with a religious objection to ssm.
It matters not whether you think this is right or wrong. These are the facts. To deny this is the situation is either ignorant or deceitful.
You should make yourself more familiar with what has occurred in other countries. Start with the deregistration of the Family First charity in NZ.
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