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I agree! Sorry - optimists is the wrong word.


One podcast referred to the mere possibility of AGI as having experts on the cutting edge who were 'believers' and 'doubters' as to the possibility of it happening. Not whether it was going to be Terminator or Techno-utopia.


The 'believers' get there because of scaling.

Each time they scale up the server farms in the training run - the results get smarter.


Also - they're adding new features on top of the training run - I don't quite understand any of this as I'm not technical and this is all broken down into my brain as 'stories' - but they're putting self-monitoring analysis on top of the raw statistical output. That is - it generates not one but 1000 outcomes from the statistical guessing game of 'what word comes next' - and then has some other method that evaluates those super-fast. Or not. Sometimes it is doing a whole PHD of analysis and it may take some time.


Anyway - if they scale it up and it gets smarter - and this has happened every time SO FAR - what about super-scaling?


Has everyone watched this?

[MEDIA=youtube]fa8k8IQ1_X0:1[/MEDIA]


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