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Crashing Arab American Support Spells Danger for Kamala Harris in Michigan
The Harris campaign doesn’t “seem to care enough about the Arab American vote to do something to get it,” says longtime Dem Party leader James Zogby.
A new poll conducted for the Arab American Institute carries a stark warning for Kamala Harris and Democrats: Israel’s bloody war in Gaza has eroded support among a once reliable constituency with a major presence in must-win Michigan.
While Arab Americans voted nearly 60 percent for Joe Biden in 2020, with Donald Trump garnering just 35 percent of their support, the new poll finds Trump winning the Arab American vote 42 to 41 percent over Harris. The picture among likely voters is even worse, with Trump leading 46-42, pointing to a politically perilous enthusiasm gap.
Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows
Nearly eight out of 10 Black voters nationwide said they would vote for Ms. Harris, the poll found, a marked increase from the 74 percent of Black voters who said they would support Mr. Biden before he dropped out of the race in July. But Mr. Biden won 90 percent of Black voters to capture the White House by narrow margins in 2020, and the drop-off for Ms. Harris, if it holds, is large enough to imperil her chances of winning key battleground states.
Donald Trump Poised to Win More Latino Votes Than Any Republican in Recent History
If this polling is correct, Trump will not only beat his previous performance but also win a larger share of Hispanic votes than any other Republican since 1972, according to data analysis by Pew Research Center.
Newsweek was unable to source voting data by demographics for the 1968 election, but in 1972, Richard Nixon received 40 percent of the Latino vote, most estimates show. In 1976, 18 percent of Hispanic voters opted to vote for the presidential candidate Gerald Ford. In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 35 percent of the Hispanic vote. In 1984, he increased this share of the vote to 37 percent. In 1988, George H.W. Bush won 30 percent of the Hispanic vote, which decreased to 25 percent in 1992.