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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
Physical & Life Sciences
How long to rebuild civilisation after an all out nuclear war?
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<blockquote data-quote="Gene2memE" data-source="post: 74986274" data-attributes="member: 341130"><p>This is actually a subject I've done a lot of reading and thinking about. The answer is "it very much depends" on the initial conditions you're faced with in the immediate aftermath.</p><p></p><p>The idea that humanity would revert to some pre-Industrial Revolution agrarian state or anarchic free for all, even in the short term, exists mostly in the minds of bad science fiction writers and Hollywood screen writers (but, I repeat myself). History has shown, repeatedly, that in widescale crises humans band together and tend to be less selfish than in other times.</p><p></p><p>However, the pace of any return towards our existing industrial-technological peak would depend on a myriad of factors. Attack type, initial and secondary casualty levels, extent/persistence of nuclear winter, state of hard infrastructure, prevalence of medical facilities, ect ect.</p><p></p><p>Given the persistent threat of nuclear war from the 1950s through to the early 1990s, there has also been a large volume of (mostly US) official estimates about how a reconstruction would occur. Some light reading recommendations <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite2" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>Nuclear Winter: The Anthropology of Human Survival <a href="https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf" target="_blank">https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf</a></p><p>The Consequences of Nuclear War: An Economic and Social Perspective <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK219185/" target="_blank">The Consequences of Nuclear War: An Economic and Social Perspective - The Medical Implications of Nuclear War - NCBI Bookshelf</a></p><p>Medical Supply and Demand in a Post-Nuclear-War World <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK219179/" target="_blank">Medical Supply and Demand in a Post-Nuclear-War World - The Medical Implications of Nuclear War - NCBI Bookshelf</a></p><p>US Office of Technology Assessment: The Effects of Nuclear War <a href="https://ota.fas.org/reports/7906.pdf" target="_blank">https://ota.fas.org/reports/7906.pdf</a></p><p>Atmospheric Conditions After a Nuclear War <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166111608718077?via%3Dihub" target="_blank">Atmospheric Conditions After a Nuclear War - ScienceDirect</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Gene2memE, post: 74986274, member: 341130"] This is actually a subject I've done a lot of reading and thinking about. The answer is "it very much depends" on the initial conditions you're faced with in the immediate aftermath. The idea that humanity would revert to some pre-Industrial Revolution agrarian state or anarchic free for all, even in the short term, exists mostly in the minds of bad science fiction writers and Hollywood screen writers (but, I repeat myself). History has shown, repeatedly, that in widescale crises humans band together and tend to be less selfish than in other times. However, the pace of any return towards our existing industrial-technological peak would depend on a myriad of factors. Attack type, initial and secondary casualty levels, extent/persistence of nuclear winter, state of hard infrastructure, prevalence of medical facilities, ect ect. Given the persistent threat of nuclear war from the 1950s through to the early 1990s, there has also been a large volume of (mostly US) official estimates about how a reconstruction would occur. Some light reading recommendations ;) Nuclear Winter: The Anthropology of Human Survival [URL]https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf[/URL] The Consequences of Nuclear War: An Economic and Social Perspective [URL='https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK219185/']The Consequences of Nuclear War: An Economic and Social Perspective - The Medical Implications of Nuclear War - NCBI Bookshelf[/URL] Medical Supply and Demand in a Post-Nuclear-War World [URL='https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK219179/']Medical Supply and Demand in a Post-Nuclear-War World - The Medical Implications of Nuclear War - NCBI Bookshelf[/URL] US Office of Technology Assessment: The Effects of Nuclear War [URL]https://ota.fas.org/reports/7906.pdf[/URL] Atmospheric Conditions After a Nuclear War [URL='https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166111608718077?via%3Dihub']Atmospheric Conditions After a Nuclear War - ScienceDirect[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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