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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
Physical & Life Sciences
Earth in hot water? Worries over sudden ocean warming spike
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<blockquote data-quote="essentialsaltes" data-source="post: 77629010" data-attributes="member: 294566"><p><h3><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/04/04/atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast/" target="_blank">An ‘extremely active’ hurricane season is headed our way, experts warn</a></h3><h3>A key preseason hurricane forecast predicts nearly two dozen tropical storms, including 11 hurricanes, posing heightened threats to U.S. coastline</h3><p>Accumulated cyclone energy, a measure that accounts for storms’ frequency and longevity, could rise nearly twice as high as normal, to a forecast 170 percent of average by the season’s end Nov. 30.</p><p></p><p>The researchers said their hurricane season forecast comes with more confidence than usual, and it includes the highest predictions the team has made <a href="https://tropical.colostate.edu/#:~:text=Colorado%20State%20University%20has%20issued,basin%20hurricane%20activity%20since%201984." target="_blank">in 40 years of producing these outlooks</a>. Although hurricane season predictions aren’t rock-solid at this time of year, sea surface temperatures are so extreme across the Atlantic basin that stormy conditions appear all but assured.</p><p></p><p>That said, “having warm water does not guarantee hurricanes,” said Kim Wood, an associate professor of hydrology and atmospheric sciences at the University of Arizona. Storm activity will also depend on the African monsoon season, which can send atmospheric disturbances into the Atlantic that serve as “seeds” for tropical cyclones, they said.</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]345274[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="essentialsaltes, post: 77629010, member: 294566"] [HEADING=2][URL='https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/04/04/atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast/']An ‘extremely active’ hurricane season is headed our way, experts warn[/URL][/HEADING] [HEADING=2]A key preseason hurricane forecast predicts nearly two dozen tropical storms, including 11 hurricanes, posing heightened threats to U.S. coastline[/HEADING] Accumulated cyclone energy, a measure that accounts for storms’ frequency and longevity, could rise nearly twice as high as normal, to a forecast 170 percent of average by the season’s end Nov. 30. The researchers said their hurricane season forecast comes with more confidence than usual, and it includes the highest predictions the team has made [URL='https://tropical.colostate.edu/#:~:text=Colorado%20State%20University%20has%20issued,basin%20hurricane%20activity%20since%201984.']in 40 years of producing these outlooks[/URL]. Although hurricane season predictions aren’t rock-solid at this time of year, sea surface temperatures are so extreme across the Atlantic basin that stormy conditions appear all but assured. That said, “having warm water does not guarantee hurricanes,” said Kim Wood, an associate professor of hydrology and atmospheric sciences at the University of Arizona. Storm activity will also depend on the African monsoon season, which can send atmospheric disturbances into the Atlantic that serve as “seeds” for tropical cyclones, they said. [ATTACH type="full"]345274[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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Earth in hot water? Worries over sudden ocean warming spike
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