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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
Physical & Life Sciences
Climate threats = FIRES: Famine, Instability, Refugees, Extinctions, Super-storms
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<blockquote data-quote="eclipsenow" data-source="post: 77652583" data-attributes="member: 274355"><p>Hi,</p><p>I appreciate your concerns. Do you have links to the CIA claims? I'm aware the Middle East is complex and of other factors in the Arab Spring - but may have missed that one - or read it and then forgotten it. It's a big world with a lot to remember.</p><p></p><p>Look - I agree that there are <em>many</em> causes for such incidents. I'm also aware that I tend to write with some hyperbole and over-simplification when tired and / or emotionally invested in something. Apologies. <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/old/oops.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":sorry:" title="sorry :sorry:" data-shortname=":sorry:" /></p><p></p><p>What I meant to say was climate change can be the proverbial straw that broke the camel's back - the spark that ignites the huge pile of tinder-dry kindling and firewood that was almost about to burst into flame from other causes as well. How about I hand over to someone qualified to write about the concept? Weirdly if you had read through to here - you would have found this much better definition in my very last post just above yours.</p><p></p><p style="margin-left: 40px">“Threat multiplier” has become a widely used term by scholars and practitioners to describe climate change implications for security in both the policy realm and climate-security literature. The term was coined in 2007 by the CNA (Center for Naval Analyses) Military Advisory Board under the leadership of Sherri Goodman. It captures how climate change effects interact with and have the potential to <strong>exacerbate <span style="color: rgb(184, 49, 47)">pre-existing threats</span> and other drivers of instability to <em><span style="color: rgb(184, 49, 47)">contribute to</span></em> security risks</strong>. The concept has been characterized as “definitional” in having “set a baseline for how to talk about the issue” and having shaped “the way in which people studying climate policy think about risks.” Its use has also been described as “one of the most prominent ways in which the security implications of climate change have been understood.”</p> <p style="margin-left: 40px">[URL unfurl="true"]https://councilonstrategicrisks.org/2023/01/03/briefer-climate-change-as-a-threat-multiplier-history-uses-and-future-of-the-concept/[/URL]</p><p></p><p></p><p>Wow - that's the 3rd time I've edited the OP. I've got to slow down and be more careful in how I write. Or is there something just inherently provocative in the topic itself?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="eclipsenow, post: 77652583, member: 274355"] Hi, I appreciate your concerns. Do you have links to the CIA claims? I'm aware the Middle East is complex and of other factors in the Arab Spring - but may have missed that one - or read it and then forgotten it. It's a big world with a lot to remember. Look - I agree that there are [I]many[/I] causes for such incidents. I'm also aware that I tend to write with some hyperbole and over-simplification when tired and / or emotionally invested in something. Apologies. :sorry: What I meant to say was climate change can be the proverbial straw that broke the camel's back - the spark that ignites the huge pile of tinder-dry kindling and firewood that was almost about to burst into flame from other causes as well. How about I hand over to someone qualified to write about the concept? Weirdly if you had read through to here - you would have found this much better definition in my very last post just above yours. [INDENT=2]“Threat multiplier” has become a widely used term by scholars and practitioners to describe climate change implications for security in both the policy realm and climate-security literature. The term was coined in 2007 by the CNA (Center for Naval Analyses) Military Advisory Board under the leadership of Sherri Goodman. It captures how climate change effects interact with and have the potential to [B]exacerbate [COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]pre-existing threats[/COLOR] and other drivers of instability to [I][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]contribute to[/COLOR][/I] security risks[/B]. The concept has been characterized as “definitional” in having “set a baseline for how to talk about the issue” and having shaped “the way in which people studying climate policy think about risks.” Its use has also been described as “one of the most prominent ways in which the security implications of climate change have been understood.”[/INDENT] [INDENT=2][URL unfurl="true"]https://councilonstrategicrisks.org/2023/01/03/briefer-climate-change-as-a-threat-multiplier-history-uses-and-future-of-the-concept/[/URL][/INDENT] Wow - that's the 3rd time I've edited the OP. I've got to slow down and be more careful in how I write. Or is there something just inherently provocative in the topic itself? [/QUOTE]
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Climate threats = FIRES: Famine, Instability, Refugees, Extinctions, Super-storms
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